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Market Pulse - September 2026

Zahler Properties • Summerlin & Las Vegas
ZAHLER PROPERTIES
Market Pulse • September 2026

The Las Vegas Market, Straight Up.

No spin, no sales pitch — just where things actually stand this month, and what it means for you.

SFR Median Sold Price
$475,000
Flat — -1.0% vs. last year
SFR Average Sold Price
$639,345
+9.7% vs. last year
Single-Family Inventory
4.2 mo.
+7.2% vs. last year
Condo/Townhome Inventory
6.0 mo.
+14.5% vs. last year
Median Household Income
$75,416
+9.8% vs. last year
Clark County Population
2.47M
+45,000 residents/yr
The headline: the high end of the Las Vegas market is outperforming. The average single-family sale price jumped 9.7% year over year to $639,345 — real strength at the top. The typical home (the median) held essentially flat at $475,000, so buyers and sellers in that mid-market range still have room and stability on their side. Add a region still adding 45,000 residents a year, and demand isn't slowing down at either end. Keep reading for the full picture.
Why the growth keeps coming
Clark County added roughly 19,000 jobs over the past year (+1.7%), and California alone sent 18,231 new residents here in 2025 — more than Florida, Texas, Arizona, and Washington combined. This is the demand base underneath the monthly sales numbers.
Sources: Las Vegas REALTORS® MLS, August 2026 Monthly Market Update; Applied Analysis / LVR Southern Nevada Economic Stats & Facts, Summer 2026.

The Honest Read

Single-family sales are down slightly (-1.7% year over year), and the median price hasn't moved ($475,000, essentially flat). Inventory is climbing on both sides of the market — but not evenly. Condos and townhomes are softening noticeably faster than single-family homes, and that gap is worth watching alongside the strength at the top of the market.

Single-Family — Effective Months of Inventory4.2 months
 
Up 7.2% from a year ago — still a fairly balanced market
Condo/Townhome — Effective Months of Inventory6.0 months
 
Up 14.5% from a year ago — this is where buyer leverage is showing up fastest
+9.8%
Median household income growth, year over year
-1.0%
Single-family median price change, year over year

That gap matters: when income grows and prices don't, affordability quietly improves even while the market feels "slower." Add in continued population growth and a real construction pipeline (more below), and the underlying fundamentals are stronger than the month-to-month sales numbers suggest.

The luxury-vs-typical split from above, in full — plus what it means for pricing:
Single-Family Sold Price
Average $639,345 (+9.7%) vs. Median $475,000 (-1.0%)
A relative handful of luxury sales are pulling the average up sharply while the typical home holds flat — one number, two very different markets underneath it.
List Price vs. Sold Price
$519,000 median list → $475,000 median sold
New listings are still coming in roughly 9% above what homes are actually closing at. Sellers pricing off last year's market are the ones landing in the 90+ day bucket.
Worth watching: Las Vegas visitor volume is down 4.8% year over year and airport passenger traffic is down 7.0%. Tourism is a real driver of this local economy, and a continued slide would be the thing to keep an eye on — even though gaming revenue and convention attendance are both still up for now.

What This Means For You

Buyers

  • Real leverage has returned, especially on condos and townhomes — 6 months of inventory means more room to negotiate on price and terms.
  • Over half of single-family homes still sell within 30 days — the right property in the right area is not sitting around waiting for you.
  • Rising incomes and flat prices mean your dollar is going slightly further than it was a year ago.

Sellers

  • Pricing accuracy matters more than it has in years. Homes priced right are still moving fast; overpriced listings are the ones falling into the 90+ day bucket.
  • This isn't a fire-sale market — it's a "get it right the first time" market.
  • Condo sellers especially: 6.0 months of supply means you're competing harder for buyer attention than single-family sellers are.

Investors

  • Condo oversupply is a value window if you're buying to hold, not to flip.
  • Income growing while price growth stalls is the long-game fundamentals argument, even with short-term softness in closings.
  • Nearly $8B in active development (below) says the long-term demand story here isn't going away.
Under Construction $3.0B Brightline Rail ’28 • $2.0B A’s Stadium ’28 • $1.5B Venetian Reno ’26 • $1.3B Four Seasons ’27
Want the breakdown for your specific neighborhood?
Reply to this email (or reach out below) and I'll pull the numbers for your zip code — population growth, days on market, price per square foot, all of it.
Geoff Zahler has held a Nevada real estate license since 2004 and co-founded Zahler Properties with his wife, Sydney, in 2013 — built to give clients real service without the big-brokerage red tape. He's a third-generation Realtor, and outside the office, he's a husband and father of three who brings the same approach home: give it to you straight, and get it right the first time.
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Zahler Properties • Zahler Properties Brokerage, Las Vegas, NV
Compiled for our clients & friends — not a substitute for a personalized valuation
Zahler Properties
Geoffrey Zahler
9440 W. Sahara Ave, Suite 115
Las Vegas, NV 89117
702-405-0953

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